Josh Palmer Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Josh Palmer

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in football.
Josh Palmer has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, hauling in a stellar 72.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects Josh Palmer to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack this week (10.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.6% in games he has played).

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