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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Chargers may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup quarterback Easton Stick.

This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Palmer's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 72.2% to 63.4%.

The Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

The Bills cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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