Josh Palmer Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Josh Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Josh Palmer

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Josh Palmer's 59.9% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 72.2% mark.

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