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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Palmer's 59.9% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 72.2% mark.

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