Josh Palmer Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Josh Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Josh Palmer

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.72 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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