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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-106/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Palmer to notch 8.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Palmer to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this week (22.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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