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Josh Palmer
NFL · Player Props
Josh Palmer
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
Receiving TD
Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Palmer Receiving TD

Josh Palmer Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+203/-305).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +247 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +203.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Palmer's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 17.2.
  • The Houston Texans safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Favors Under
  • The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
  • Josh Palmer's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 71.9% to 64.6%.
  • The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 10th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.
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