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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Josh Oliver Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Josh Oliver has gone out for fewer passes this year (34.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (19.5%).
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (83%) vs. tight ends this year (83.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.
  • With a meager 1.3 adjusted catches per game (23rd percentile) this year, Josh Oliver stands as one of the weakest pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

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