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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Josh Oliver Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-256/+191).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +191.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Josh Oliver's 31.3% Route% this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his passing attack utilization over last season's 19.5% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.8 per game) this year.

Since the start of last season, the formidable New York Jets defense has given up a mere 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

The Jets linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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