Josh Oliver Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Josh Oliver

NFL · Player Props

Josh Oliver

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Oliver Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Vikings offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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