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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Josh Oliver has been less involved as a potential target this year (32.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (20.4%).

Josh Oliver has put up quite a few more air yards this season (13.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).

With a fantastic 83.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Josh Oliver rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Josh Oliver's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging a mere 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.36 rate last season.

This year, the formidable Rams defense has yielded a measly 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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