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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.8% pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Josh Oliver has put up far more air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).

Josh Oliver's 16.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 7.7.

Josh Oliver's 28.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks an impressive improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 18.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Vikings, who are heavily favored by 7 points.

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Vikings have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.8 per game) this year.

Josh Oliver's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 5.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.36 rate last year.

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