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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After averaging 4.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Oliver has produced significantly more this season, currently pacing 18.0 per game.

Josh Oliver's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 7.7.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.

Josh Oliver's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, accumulating a measly 5.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.36 mark last year.

This year, the imposing Cardinals defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a mere 6.9 yards.

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