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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.9% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Josh Oliver has posted quite a few more air yards this season (12.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).

Josh Oliver's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 7.7.

Josh Oliver's 92.8% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 83.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the model to run just 62.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.8 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher run volume.

Josh Oliver's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, averaging a mere 5.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.36 mark last season.

More Josh Oliver Player Props

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