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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to earn 15.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a meaningful gain in his rushing prowess over last season's 63.0 figure.
  • Josh Jacobs's ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, compiling 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.49 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least run-focused team in the league (35.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • After making up 81.5% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the run game this year, currently taking on only 57.8%.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Arizona's unit has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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