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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to accrue 19.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs has generated 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (95th percentile).

Josh Jacobs's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his running ability over last year's 3.5 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers will be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (60.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (78.0% in games he has played).

The Titans defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, conceding just 3.96 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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