Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 19, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2025 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 74.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
In this contest, Josh Jacobs is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.0 carries.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (77.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (63.1% in games he has played).
Josh Jacobs's 80.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a material boost in his rushing skills over last season's 63.0 figure.
Josh Jacobs's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 4.50 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.49 mark last year.

Favors Under

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 4th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 42.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may go down.
This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles run defense has conceded a mere 101.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-best in the league.