My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Josh Jacobs to total 20.6 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (77.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.3% in games he has played).

Josh Jacobs has run for many more adjusted yards per game (83.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Josh Jacobs's rushing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 4.46 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.49 mark last season.

Josh Jacobs's 3.42 yards-after-contact this year marks a noteable boost in his running skills over last year's 2.35 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 6th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.8% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 84.0 per game) vs. the Vikings defense this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Minnesota's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™