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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 91.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 90.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 24.8 rush attempts.

Josh Jacobs has run for many more adjusted yards per game (83.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

Josh Jacobs has been a less important option in his team's run game this year (67.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (81.5%).

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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