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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • With a 44.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Packers.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to accumulate 18.9 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his rushing prowess over last year's 63.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After comprising 81.5% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the ground game this year, currently sitting at only 64.2%.
  • This year, the imposing Miami Dolphins run defense has conceded a paltry 107.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 9th-best in the league.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Miami's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

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