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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 128.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the model to finish in the 97th percentile among running backs with 19.1 carries.
  • Josh Jacobs has garnered 77.7% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • In regards to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 39.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Josh Jacobs's 47.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a a noteable drop-off in his running talent over last year's 100.0 figure.
  • Josh Jacobs's 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a a material reduction in his running skills over last season's 5.0 mark.

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