Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to notch 18.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has received 80.2% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Josh Jacobs has generated 97.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (100th percentile).
Josh Jacobs's ground efficiency (4.88 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (78th percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 96 per game) versus the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.

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