Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.1% run rate.
The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 21.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Among all running backs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 100th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 81.9% of the workload in his offense's running game.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.9 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (100.0).

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