Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 19.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been much more involved in his offense's running game this season (85.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (67.7%).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (105.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
The Las Vegas Raiders have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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