Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 16.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has generated 58.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (89th percentile).
Josh Jacobs's running efficiency (4.84 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (81st percentile among running backs).
Josh Jacobs has been among the top RBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.81 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (71.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (84.0% in games he has played).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 104 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season.

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