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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 16.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs has generated 58.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (89th percentile).
  • Josh Jacobs's running efficiency (4.84 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (81st percentile among running backs).
  • Josh Jacobs has been among the top RBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.81 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (71.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (84.0% in games he has played).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 104 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season.

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