Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 14.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has been given 68.1% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has picked up 56.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 40.7% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.