Josh Jacobs Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing TD

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-209).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -178 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -209.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Raiders rank as the 7th-least run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 27.8% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least TDs in the NFL (0.79 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 5th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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