My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Josh Jacobs has been given 90.6% of his offense's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

Josh Jacobs has rushed for 0.83 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (98th percentile).

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders rank as the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 35.6% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least TDs in the NFL (0.58 per game) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.

The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™