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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Jacobs has been given 91.7% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

Josh Jacobs has rushed for 0.70 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (94th percentile).

Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-most touchdowns in football (1.10 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 10th-least run-centric team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 40.0% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the 6th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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