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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Packers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 26.2 per game) this year.

Josh Jacobs's 11.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 20.5.

Josh Jacobs's receiving talent has declined this year, notching just 1.7 adjusted receptions vs 2.8 last year.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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