My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 59.2% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

Josh Jacobs's 14.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 20.5.

This year, the daunting Vikings defense has surrendered a mere 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™