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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 69.0% to 82.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Josh Jacobs's 13.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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