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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Chicago Bears defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to garner 4.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs's 27.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 17.6.

When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.2 plays per game.

Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 86.3% to 78.0%.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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