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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Las Vegas Raiders
Receptions
Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:56 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Receptions

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

Favors Over
  • The Raiders will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to garner 4.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 27.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 17.6.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
Favors Under
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.2 plays per game.
  • Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 86.3% to 78.0%.
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