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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 128.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • This week, Josh Jacobs is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 97th percentile among RBs with 5.3 targets.
  • Josh Jacobs's 29.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 17.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).
  • Josh Jacobs's 79.8% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a a noteable decline in his receiving talent over last year's 86.3% mark.

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