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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.0% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

This week, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 79th percentile among RBs with 2.9 targets.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 69.0% to 84.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Josh Jacobs's 11.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 20.5.

Josh Jacobs's 17.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 23.0 mark.

This year, the strong Texans defense has surrendered a paltry 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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