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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Packers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 69.0% to 79.2%.

Josh Jacobs's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, compiling 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 5.74 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 28.6 per game) this year.

Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this year (7.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.7%).

Josh Jacobs has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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