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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • The projections expect Josh Jacobs to accrue 3.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Packers ranks as the 5th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (58.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Green Bay Packers.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Josh Jacobs has accrued a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 10th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 20.5.

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