My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 59.2% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

Josh Jacobs has accumulated a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Josh Jacobs's 14.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 20.5.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus running backs this year, yielding 5.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™