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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 69.0% to 82.7%.

Josh Jacobs's receiving efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 7.04 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.74 rate last season.

Josh Jacobs's 9.48 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a material progression in his efficiency in space over last season's 7.5% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, Josh Jacobs grades out in the lowly 14th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

Josh Jacobs's 13.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 20.5.

Josh Jacobs's 18.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 23.0 figure.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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