My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Josh Jacobs to total 3.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Packers ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Josh Jacobs has been one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an outstanding 20.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

Josh Jacobs's 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 69.0% mark.

Josh Jacobs's receiving effectiveness has improved this season, notching 7.33 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.74 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Packers rank as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.7% pass rate.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in the measly 18th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.

Josh Jacobs's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 20.5.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™