Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 11.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been among the best pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 23.0 yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 27.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, giving up 5.04 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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