Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to notch 4.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 11.7% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Josh Jacobs has accumulated a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile among RBs.
The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 23.0) vs. running backs this year.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (68.4%) vs. running backs this year (68.4%).

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