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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Las Vegas Raiders
Receiving Yards
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +106.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (76.2%) vs. running backs this year (76.2%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a mere 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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