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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Jacobs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+425/-952).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +425.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (7.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Josh Jacobs's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 80th percentile for running backs.

Josh Jacobs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 84.1% to 87.9%.

The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.

Josh Jacobs has put up a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 3rd percentile among running backs.

Josh Jacobs does not have any receiving TDs this year.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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