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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+425/-952).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +425.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (7.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Josh Jacobs's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 80th percentile for running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 84.1% to 87.9%.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Josh Jacobs has put up a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 3rd percentile among running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs does not have any receiving TDs this year.

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