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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Green Bay Packers
Carries
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2024 Updated Nov 3, 2024 8:36 PM EST
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Carries

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to garner 17.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
  • At the moment, the 8th-least run-focused team in the league (37.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller part of his team's run game this season (60.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (81.5%).
  • The Lions safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
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