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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

This week, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.4 rush attempts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 5th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.0% run rate.

After taking on 81.5% of his team's carries last year, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, currently taking on just 58.8%.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Houston's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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