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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to earn 15.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 3rd-least run-focused team in the league (35.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.

After making up 81.5% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the run game this year, currently taking on only 57.8%.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Arizona's unit has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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