Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 7, 2024 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 80th percentile among running backs with 13.5 carries.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to run on 37.6% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
After taking on 81.5% of his team's run game usage last year, Josh Jacobs has been called on less the rushing attack this year, now sitting at only 55.6%.

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