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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 44.7% of their chances: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is expected by the projections to rank in the 96th percentile among running backs with 21.7 rush attempts.
  • The Seattle defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.2 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller part of his offense's ground game this season (65.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (81.5%).

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