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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • With a 44.3% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is projected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile among RBs with 18.9 carries.
  • The 49ers safeties profile as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this year (62.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).

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