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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.2 rush attempts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 10th-least run-centric offense in the league (38.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Green Bay Packers.

After taking on 81.5% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the run game this year, now making up just 60.9%.

The Bears safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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